CBB: College Basketball March Madness Picks for March 17: Best NCAA Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

march madness has finally arrived! We had a pretty good run through the end of the regular season and into conference tournaments, but now the big dance is here. It’s time to lock some College basketball betting to DraftKings Sportsbook!

Here is how I will build these items during the NCAA Tournament. Rather than just give out bets with unit size, I’ll write down all the bets/leans I’m considering. This way you get more content and information about more games. But that said, be careful. These are not all the games I will ultimately bet on.

It is still quite early as I write these articles. Plenty of time to lock in bets and wait for some of those numbers to move in our favor. For my official games, I will continue post the piece on Twitterbut refers you to those articles for analysis.

Everything below is what jumps out at me on the Thursday card. Let’s crush this tournament!

I came into this tournament thinking I would wipe out the Big Ten in many places, and I think that will remain true for the most part. But it’s a pretty unique situation with the way the support has been rocking. Michigan has been a wild card this season. They started playing as a top five team, but clearly don’t belong in this conversation. At the same time, the Wolverines have proven to be a team that can hold their weight in a highly competitive conference that has produced the most tournament offers.

So while there is cause for concern for Michigan, they also clearly have more talent than your common 11 seed. Mix that with a 6 seed that hasn’t faced many real tests this season, and you have a recipe for an “upheaval”. Obviously bettors know it wouldn’t be much of an upset, with Michigan reaching a three-point favorite after opening a pick’em.

Colorado State is winning games in the MWC but is just 1-5 ATS in its last six games. The Rams had three decent non-conference wins but were favored in all of them, and they were all played on Dec. 11 or earlier. Michigan is coming off an embarrassing loss in the Big Ten tournament, so expect a strong early rebound. I don’t like Juwan Howard as a coach and think he has something to do with a late-game meltdown like we saw in the conference tournament. That’s why I’m watching the first half game here.

This match is going to get a ton of attention and will be a very popular upset choice in brackets. Rightly so, SDSU is a very talented team. The Jackrabbits haven’t lost a conference game in the Summit League all season, but they haven’t even been an underdog since Dec. 15 – a game they lost and failed to cover against the State of Missouri. The Jackrabbits have only won one game as a dog all season – a three-point victory over Washington State. He also showed a low floor, losing a game as a 22.5-point favorite. The most comparable game to Providence that SDSU has played during the regular season has to be Alabama. The Jackrabbits were 12.5 point underdogs and lost by 16 points.

Now, the argument you’ll hear from anyone who loves SDSU is how lucky Providence got. They’re not mistaken, PC got some incredibly lucky rebounds this season. But the Brothers have also been great in tough times, part of which is a skill. Providence went 18-2 as the favorite this season, and I think it’s a game they should win as the most qualified team. Going against the grain on a fashionable upset pick by backing the much better team at an incredibly short number. People already have it in their minds to make Providence disappear, and I just don’t think that’s the place.

Georgia State got very hot in the Sun Belt stretch, entering the NCAA Tournament on a 10-game winning streak. The Panthers have been favored in 12 straight games and only twice underdogs since the New Year – and both games were two-point dogs or less.

This team has been wiped every time they’ve faced anything close to real competition. The last decent competition the Panthers had was a bad ACC team at Georgia Tech in late December, losing by double digits as a dog by 4.5 points. Georgia State was also a 9.5 point underdog against Mississippi State, but ended up losing 79-50. Even earlier in the season, the Panthers tried to test themselves with a few games against Atlantic-10 competition. They ended up losing to Rhode Island and Richmond by a combined 51 points.

I’m not going to try to sell you Gonzaga here, because you know what they are now. But every time Georgia State has stepped up to the plate with decent competition, it’s been rolled. How do we think that compares to the tournament’s top seed? Zags should be up more than 20 points before stepping into the locker room at halftime.

It reminds me exactly of last year’s game in the tournament when Arkansas drew Colgate. Colgate was a hot pick, and he had the Hogs on the ropes early on, but eventually Arkansas prevailed and won/covered. We are now in a similar situation with a very good team from Vermont. UVM is good, but much like the analysis of Providence, I think people will force this as a place for them when in reality it’s a really hard game.

UVM have won 22 of their last 23 games. He lost a game as a double-digit favorite in conference play but was otherwise like a machine beating lesser teams. But before the American East Conference game, Vermont looked much more beatable. UVM lost two games as court favorites for lower-tier competition, but we’ll highlight games against five power teams to get the best comparison to Arkansas.

The Catamounts faced Maryland in November, losing by 11 as the 10-point dogs. They also played Providence in December, losing by 10 as 6.5-point dogs. I don’t want to discredit this team, because they are good enough to stay in games with very good teams and not blow themselves up. But I am also convinced that this number is too short due to the bad competition of the last three months.

UVM has also dropped to neutral ground this season, going 0-2-1 ATS. The Hogs enter the tournament 13-1 in their last 14 games as favorites and 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall. I think this team is too talented to lay such a short number against UVM.

This parlay peaks Thursday and continues Friday with the Houston stage. Again, we have plenty of teams to choose from as betting coins, but anything above the price of Iowa is just a bit overpriced, barley moving the juice for us. I think a combo of using at least two of these coins is the best way to go if you want to bet your favorites.

I’ve already laid out my argument for Arkansas, so I won’t add anything there. Iowa is a monster favorite over Richmond, which is just a terrible game for the veteran Spiders. They snuck in and stole an offer by winning the A-10, and would have been the type of team that could steal a game in the right game. But Iowa is fresh out of its Big Ten championship and should have too much offense for the Spiders to finally follow.

Houston is interesting because it attracts UAB. The Blazers are a dangerous team, and I’m not willing to score points with the Cougars, but I don’t see them losing this game either. KenPom has Houston among the top five teams in the nation, after an impressive win at the AAC Tournament. I think they have enough to get by here, but maybe not at nine or more.

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