Putin: Putin plays poker, not chess, there won’t be a 2-2 draw: Kasparov
Kasparov said Russian aggression “wouldn’t have a two-two draw”, as it happens in chess. “No draw, no compromise,” he said, reminding the audience that war crimes were being perpetrated in Ukraine “on an industrial scale.” “Such a demolition of Ukraine, I saw it for the last time in the films of the Second World War,” he said, adding that it was a genocide of Ukraine. supported by the state and pushed by Russian propaganda. But Kasparov was convinced that the war was taking a different turn than Putin had imagined. “Everyone thought Ukraine would fall in three days. This does not happen. Remember that with the upsurge of arms from Europe, the Ukrainian army is currently larger than Russia, and with eight years of fighting (aggression in the Crimea in 2014), more experienced,” he said. he declares. “Putin did not foresee this, he was forced to rally his soldiers from the Far East,” Kasparov said.
Kasparov pointed to the impact sanctions could have on Putin’s control. “The Russian economy depends on the global economy unlike the former USSR, and with its money frozen abroad, sanctions can be very effective. Remember that war is expensive and its money is running out. Russia is isolated now,” he said.
Still, Kasparov pointed out that the two-month war had reached a critical phase where the next 10 days of fighting could reveal a new geopolitical landscape.
“This is a war not only to protect the territorial sovereignty of Ukraine. This war will have consequences elsewhere, what will prevent China from attacking Taiwan (then)”, he wonders.
Asked how India should position itself in this geopolitical crisis, Kasparov warned against India’s reluctance.
“Remember that Putin cannot be a reliable partner. That’s what I call a merchant of doubt. He might look at India just to pose another problem there. So the long-term strategy of “India should be to be there with the free world. India could play a big role, even become the leader of this game-changing coalition in Asia. But it must learn to avoid diplomatic landmines,” said he declared.
He dwelt on Putin’s growing frustration. “He expressed an open admiration not only for Josef Stalin, but also for Ivan the Terrible, so it is not surprising that in his ideal of New Russia – south of Ukraine to Odessa – he wanted to annexation of Ukraine. Whether they have the resources for that, we don’t know, but they are aggressive.
Will it lead to the deployment of ADM? “Tactical nuclear weapons, maybe, but who will push the button is the question,” Kasparov said, “Which of his buddies, his generals will carry out his orders? If he loses, they will be reluctant. I think Putin would have a hard time rallying the suicide bombers in his army, which is why it’s poker, not chess.
“Putin cannot afford to lose like a loser. He may not have read many books but knows how to survive. If you can survive 20 years as a dictator, you have to be good at it, but he also knows that when things go wrong the scapegoat is the dictator himself,” Kasparov analyzed.
“I’m not a doctor or a psychiatrist, but I see he doesn’t look strong anymore,” Kasparov said, “And if a dictator doesn’t radiate strength, that’s really bad news.”